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中国银河证券:水泥整体需求疲软 玻纤涨价动能延续
智通财经网·2025-11-11 08:12

Core Viewpoint - The construction materials industry is experiencing weak demand in Q3 2025, leading to a slight revenue decline, but profitability has significantly improved due to cost reduction and price increases for certain products [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - In the first three quarters of 2025, 77 listed companies in the construction materials sector achieved a total revenue of 489.86 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.74%, while net profit attributable to shareholders reached 19.25 billion yuan, an increase of 21.46% [1] - The overall gross profit margin for the industry was 19.38%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.22 percentage points [1] - Operating cash flow for these companies improved significantly, with a year-on-year growth of 52.91%, attributed to better receivables management and retail channel transformations [1] Group 2: Cement Sector - In October, there was a slight improvement in cement demand, but overall national demand is showing signs of peaking [2] - The industry is facing increased clinker inventory pressure despite efforts to control supply through staggered kiln shutdowns [2] - Cement prices saw a month-on-month increase of 2.22%, with expectations of further price hikes in November, although the increase may be limited [2] Group 3: Consumer Building Materials - From January to September 2025, retail sales of building and decoration materials grew by 1.6% year-on-year, with a 10.49% month-on-month increase in September [3] - The demand for consumer building materials is gradually improving as the seasonal downturn in the home decoration market ends, although it remains below last year's levels [3] - The ongoing urban renewal strategy is expected to stimulate demand for renovation and high-quality green building materials [3] Group 4: Glass Fiber Sector - In October, there was a slight recovery in demand for glass fiber, with some construction projects requiring expedited delivery [4] - Major glass fiber manufacturers have issued price increase notices for roving, indicating strong pricing power and expectations for stable to rising prices in the future [4] - Demand for electronic yarn is also increasing, with prices expected to remain stable after an initial rise [4] Group 5: Float Glass Sector - The average price of float glass increased in October, although there was a downward trend within the month [5] - The market is characterized by cautious purchasing behavior and high inventory levels, which are expected to limit price increases in the short term [5] - Overall, prices are anticipated to remain stable due to high inventory and limited improvement in demand [5]