Core Insights - The report from BMO Capital Markets highlights a significant divergence in institutional investor interest in the Canadian energy infrastructure sector over the past month, reflecting struggles in traditional pipeline asset valuations amid macroeconomic headwinds and a market eager to reprice new growth opportunities in the context of energy transition [1][2] Group 1: Key Topics - Pembina Pipeline (PBA.US) is a focal point, with two major discussions surrounding it: the potential sale of KKR & Co's 40% stake in Pembina Gas Infrastructure and the upcoming investment decision for a data center project in partnership with Greenlight, which is expected to have a power capacity of 900 MW [1] - Brookfield Renewable Partners LP (BEP.US) has gained attention due to an $8 billion investment in the U.S. nuclear power sector and strategic partnerships, leading BMO to raise its target price to $36, indicating an implied upside of nearly 18% from the current market price of $30.54 [2] - Alberta's forward electricity prices have surged, with contracts for 2028-2030 reaching $80-90 per MWh, more than doubling from the average of about $43 per MWh since 2025, prompting a reevaluation of local generation asset values [2] Group 2: Sector Performance - The pipeline index has underperformed the utility sector by 11 percentage points (-7% vs +4%), indicating investor skepticism regarding the long-term growth prospects of traditional fossil fuel infrastructure, despite stable cash flows in the sector [2] - Storage facilities are entering an expansion phase, with companies like Enbridge (ENB.US) and Canadian Utilities expanding their capacities, prompting a reassessment of the strategic value of these seasonal assets [3] - In the pipeline sector, Pembina is highlighted for its strategic moves, while Keyera (KEY.US) has underperformed by an additional 4 percentage points, raising questions about its fundamentals [3] Group 3: Utility Sector Dynamics - Capital Power has monetized its 375 MW AESO Phase I project allocation, and the market is keen to see how it will engage in larger opportunities [4] - TransAlta is seen as a bellwether for rising electricity prices in Alberta, with institutions requesting updates on its net asset value under optimistic scenarios reflecting future electricity prices and demand from large data centers [4] - Boralex has seen increased investor inquiries as it remains one of the few covered stocks not yet experiencing price increases, leading to efforts to clarify its relative weakness [4]
BMO能源基建调研:资金正重估加拿大,传统管道与绿色转型现估值裂痕