Xin Lang Zheng Quan·2025-11-11 09:02Core Viewpoint - The 2026 Capital Market Annual Conference hosted by CITIC Securities focuses on the theme "Advancing the New Journey," discussing the global macro landscape and investment strategies under new circumstances, including topics like the 14th Five-Year Plan, Chinese enterprises going global, new productivity, AI applications, and innovative energy storage [1][3]. Group 1: Economic Outlook - CITIC Securities' Chief Economist predicts China's economy will grow by approximately 5.0% in 2025 and around 4.9% in 2026, with a "front low, back high" growth pattern expected due to base factors and policy rhythms [5]. - The macro policy environment is anticipated to remain supportive, with fiscal policies becoming more proactive, maintaining a deficit ratio around 4%, and structural monetary tools continuing to be utilized [5][6]. - The economic growth center for the 14th Five-Year Plan period is expected to stabilize around 4.8%, with a focus on balancing demand-side policies [7]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The A-share market is transitioning from domestic-focused companies to global multinational corporations, with Chinese enterprises expected to enhance their position in the global value chain, contributing to a low-volatility, slow-bull market [7][8]. - The global macro environment is generally accommodative, with expectations of a mild appreciation of the RMB and continued attractiveness of gold as a long-term asset [6][8]. - The A-share market's performance will increasingly depend on global market demand rather than solely domestic demand, influenced by the dynamics of US-China relations [8]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Key investment themes include upgrading traditional manufacturing, the globalization of Chinese enterprises, and the expansion of AI applications, which are expected to enhance profit growth and market valuation [8][9]. - The conference features discussions on various sectors, including technology, energy, and finance, with insights from industry leaders on future trends and investment directions [11][12]. - The conference serves as a platform for over 100 speakers and numerous companies, facilitating extensive discussions on macroeconomic outlooks and investment strategies [12].