Xin Hua Cai Jing·2025-11-11 10:05Core Insights - The 2026 Capital Market Annual Conference hosted by CITIC Securities focuses on the theme "Advancing on a New Journey," discussing global macro trends and investment strategies in the context of China's 14th Five-Year Plan and emerging topics like AI applications and new energy storage [1][3] Economic Outlook - CITIC Securities' Chief Economist Mingming forecasts a recovery trend for the Chinese economy, projecting a growth rate of approximately 5.0% for 2025 and around 4.9% for 2026, with a potential "low first, high later" growth pattern [3][4] - Fiscal policy is expected to remain proactive, with a deficit ratio around 4% and an increase in special bond quotas directed towards project construction [4] - Monetary policy may see room for rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions, with structural monetary tools continuing to play a role [4] Market Environment - The global macro environment is generally accommodative, with expectations of a mild appreciation of the RMB and ongoing attractiveness of gold as a long-term asset [4] - The international landscape presents both challenges and opportunities, with a restructuring of global industrial and financial orders prompting Chinese enterprises to explore international markets and enhance RMB internationalization [5] Investment Strategy - The A-share market is transitioning from domestic-focused companies to global players, with expectations that Chinese firms will gain more pricing power in the global value chain during the 14th Five-Year Plan [6] - Key investment themes include upgrading traditional manufacturing, the globalization of Chinese enterprises, and the expansion of AI applications, which are expected to enhance competitive advantages for Chinese companies [6] Conference Highlights - The conference features over 100 speakers and representatives from thousands of listed companies and investment institutions, providing a platform for extensive discussions on various topics including global economic outlook, emerging market investments, and AI innovations [8]