央行最新部署：保持社会融资条件相对宽松

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) emphasizes the importance of maintaining a moderately loose monetary policy to support economic growth and stabilize financial conditions, while also addressing the evolving needs of the real economy [1][2][4]. Monetary Policy Execution - The PBOC's report indicates that the financial aggregate has grown rapidly, with the social financing scale and broad money supply (M2) increasing by 8.7% and 8.4% year-on-year, respectively, as of September [3]. - The report highlights that the current balance of RMB loans has reached 270 trillion yuan, and the social financing scale stands at 437 trillion yuan [3]. Economic Outlook - The report suggests that the national economy is progressing steadily, with a solid foundation to achieve the annual growth target of around 5% [4]. - It notes that the macroeconomic policies, including fiscal and monetary measures, are expected to work in coordination to support this growth [4]. Financial Structure and Monetary Creation - The report discusses the relationship between base money and broader money supply, indicating that changes in base money can influence the creation of broad money, but they are not directly correlated [5]. - It emphasizes that the channels for bank money creation are becoming more diversified, reflecting changes in financing and economic structures [5]. Interest Rates and Resource Allocation - The report outlines the significance of interest rates and their relative relationships in guiding resource allocation within the economy [6]. - It explains that changes in interest rates can lead to shifts in capital flows towards higher return assets, impacting various financial markets [6]. Future Monetary Policy Directions - The PBOC plans to maintain a relatively loose social financing condition and implement appropriate monetary policies to support economic stability [8]. - Key measures include enhancing credit support for small and medium-sized enterprises, expanding financial supply for consumption, and stabilizing the RMB exchange rate [8][9]. Risk Management and Financial Stability - The report emphasizes the importance of preventing and mitigating financial risks through a robust macro-prudential policy framework [9]. - It highlights the need for continuous innovation in financial tools to maintain market stability and address systemic risks [9].