适度宽松的货币政策持续发力 与财政政策协调配合持续加强

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is implementing a moderately accommodative monetary policy to support economic recovery and stabilize financial markets, with GDP growth of 5.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2023 [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy Implementation - The monetary policy has led to a rapid growth in financial aggregates, with social financing stock and M2 money supply increasing by 8.7% and 8.4% year-on-year respectively as of September [2] - The balance of RMB loans reached 270.4 trillion yuan, with new corporate and personal housing loan rates decreasing by approximately 40 and 25 basis points year-on-year [2] - Various types of loans, including technology, green, inclusive, elderly care, and digital economy loans, have seen significant year-on-year growth rates, indicating an optimized credit structure [2] Group 2: Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policies - The report emphasizes the importance of flexible open market operations to stabilize short-term fluctuations in fiscal revenue and government bond issuance, showcasing effective coordination between monetary and fiscal policies [3] - In 2024, the net financing amount of government bonds has reached 11 trillion yuan, with expectations to exceed 12 trillion yuan for the year, supported by the PBOC's liquidity measures [4] - The collaboration between fiscal and monetary policies has strengthened the linkage between fiscal and credit funds, contributing to a stable decline in overall financing costs and supporting economic restructuring [4] Group 3: Future Policy Directions - The report indicates a focus on enhancing the transmission mechanism of monetary policy, balancing short-term and long-term goals, and addressing both internal and external uncertainties [5] - The continued collaboration between monetary and fiscal policies is expected to stimulate consumer potential and enhance the vitality of business entities through targeted loan interest subsidy policies [5] - The shift in credit allocation from real estate to key strategic areas reflects a deep collaboration between monetary and fiscal policies, promoting efficiency in funding directed towards technological innovation and green transformation [6]