Venture(US:VEMLY) Xin Lang Ji Jin·2025-11-11 12:54Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in computing hardware, particularly in optical modules, is attributed to concerns over an AI bubble and a temporary retreat in AI narratives overseas [3] Group 1: Market Performance - Tianfu Communication led the decline with an 8% drop, while Zhongji Xuchuang fell over 4%, and several other stocks like Xinyi Sheng and Ruijie Network dropped more than 2% [1] - The ChiNext AI ETF (159363), heavily invested in leading optical module companies, fell by 2.77% with a trading volume of 697 million yuan, losing its 20-day moving average [1] Group 2: AI Bubble Concerns - Michael Burry, a prominent short-seller, warned that large tech companies are extending the depreciation period of servers and computing devices to inflate their financial reports, a common method of profit manipulation [3] - Goldman Sachs strategists expressed concerns that the current enthusiasm for AI could mirror the internet bubble of the early 2000s, although they believe there is still room for growth in the AI market [3] Group 3: Policy and Industry Outlook - The national "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes accelerating breakthroughs in the new technological revolution and enhancing self-reliance in technology, with a focus on integrating AI into various sectors [3] - The AI industry is rapidly developing, driving explosive demand in the computing sector, with optimistic forecasts from companies like OpenAI in North America and Alibaba in China, which is investing 380 billion yuan in AI infrastructure [3] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - CITIC Securities believes the world is undergoing an AI industrial revolution, suggesting a long-term perspective on AI-driven computing demand and applications [4] - The demand for 800G optical modules is expected to grow rapidly, with significant increases in the shipment of 1.6T modules and the initiation of 3.2T module development [4] - Investors are advised to focus on the first ChiNext AI ETF (159363) and related funds, which have a significant allocation to leading optical module companies [4] Group 5: ETF Performance - As of October 31, the ChiNext AI ETF (159363) has a scale exceeding 3.5 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of over 700 million yuan, leading among seven ETFs tracking the ChiNext AI index [5]