通信行业2026年投资策略报告

Group 1 - The AI industry revolution is ongoing, with strong demand for computing power and promising applications. The national "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the acceleration of a new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation, implementing the "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative. The current global context is likened to the industrial revolution, suggesting a long-term perspective is necessary to observe the impact of AI on computing power demand and applications [1][2] - Capital expenditure by telecom operators is expected to decline, while 6G research and development is accelerating. In 2024, telecom operators' capital expenditure is projected to decrease, following a decline that began in 2023. This trend is anticipated to continue until the commercial use of 6G. Research on 6G wireless interfaces and core network architecture commenced in June 2025, with the R21 version timeline expected to be finalized by June 2026. Despite this, telecom operators are increasing investments in AI computing power, suggesting a potential stabilization and recovery in overall capital expenditure by 2027 or later [1][2] Group 2 - Industrial policies are leading the way, with tech giants contributing to the industry's rapid advancement. China places significant emphasis on quantum technology, while the U.S. also prioritizes its development and restricts investments in quantum technology in China. Recently, NVIDIA launched NVQLink to connect GPUs with quantum processors. There is a recommendation to closely monitor advancements in the quantum computing industry, particularly in areas such as dilution refrigerators and low-temperature coaxial cables [2] - Several companies are highlighted as having significant investment potential, considering industry trends, performance potential, valuation levels, trading volatility, and the likelihood of turning points or exceeding expectations. The companies listed as top recommendations for 2026 include Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Yuanjie Technology, Tianfu Communication, Yingweike, Ruijie Network, ZTE Corporation, Runze Technology, Hengtong Optic-Electric, and Zhongtian Technology [2]