2 Truck Stocks to Keep an Eye on Despite Industry Headwinds

Core Viewpoint - The Zacks Transportation-Truck industry is currently facing significant challenges due to supply-chain disruptions, high inflation-driven interest rates, and a shortage of truck drivers, yet some companies are demonstrating resilience through growth strategies and operational efficiency [1]. Industry Overview - The Zacks Transportation-Truck industry consists of truck operators that transport freight across North America, offering various services including full-truckload and less-than-truckload (LTL) services, as well as logistics and intermodal services [2]. Current Trends - Supply-chain disruptions and weak freight rates are negatively impacting the industry, with the Cass Freight Shipments Index declining by 5.4% year over year in September, marking a continuous decline for seven months [3]. - Companies are focusing on cost-cutting measures to improve productivity and efficiency in response to high material, labor, and transportation costs, as well as tariffs that pressure margins [4]. - The trucking industry is projected to face a shortage of over 160,000 drivers by 2030, exacerbating supply-chain challenges [5]. - Tariff policies from the current administration are increasing costs and disrupting supply chains, creating uncertainty for investors [6]. Industry Performance - The Zacks Transportation-Truck industry ranks 239 out of 244 Zacks industries, placing it in the bottom 2% and indicating poor near-term prospects [7][8]. - The industry's earnings estimate for 2025 has decreased by 30.9% year over year, reflecting a loss of confidence among analysts regarding earnings growth potential [9]. - Over the past year, the industry has declined by 31.4%, underperforming the S&P 500's increase of 14.2% and the broader transportation sector's decline of 13.9% [10]. Valuation Metrics - The industry is currently trading at an EV-to-EBITDA ratio of 11.82X, compared to the S&P 500's 18.24X and the sector's 10.03X, with historical trading ranges between 7.86X and 16.3X over the past five years [13]. Notable Companies - J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT) is recognized for its diverse transportation services and has seen a year-over-year share price increase of 14.5%, currently holding a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [16][17]. - Saia, which provides regional and interregional LTL services, also holds a Zacks Rank of 3, with a 2% upward revision in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings over the past 60 days [19].