DoorDash Rises 22% Year to Date: Buy, Sell, or Hold the Stock?

Core Insights - DoorDash (DASH) shares have increased by 21.7% year-to-date, underperforming the Zacks Internet-Services industry's growth of 44.6% and the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector's rise of 24.3% [1][9] - The underperformance is attributed to intense competition in the local food delivery logistics market, which is highly fragmented [2][15] - Despite challenges, DoorDash is experiencing strong order growth and rising Marketplace Gross Order Value (GOV), supported by an expanding partner network and enhanced logistics efficiency [5][9] Company Performance - Total orders for DoorDash increased by 21% year-over-year to 776 million, while Marketplace GOV rose by 25% year-over-year to $25 billion [6] - The expanding partner base, including collaborations with Waymo, Kroger, and McDonald's, has significantly broadened DoorDash's reach and service offerings [7][10] - DoorDash's partnership with Waymo aims to test an autonomous delivery service in Metro Phoenix, enhancing its Autonomous Delivery Platform initiative [8] Financial Outlook - For Q4 2025, DoorDash anticipates Marketplace GOV to be between $28.9 billion and $29.5 billion [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings is $2.30 per share, indicating a year-over-year increase of 693.10% [13] - Revenue estimates for 2025 are projected at $13.62 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 27.07% [14] Competitive Landscape - DoorDash faces rising competition from other local food delivery platforms, notably Uber Technologies and Maplebear (Instacart), which are expanding their market presence [15] - Maplebear has launched AI Solutions to enhance grocery operations, indicating a strong competitive stance in the food delivery and retail technology landscape [16][17] Valuation Concerns - DoorDash shares are considered overvalued, with a trailing 12-month Price/Book ratio of 9.18, compared to the industry average of 7.40 [18] - The current Zacks Rank for DoorDash is 4 (Sell), suggesting that investors should be cautious regarding the stock [20]