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Larry Kudlow: Are stocks signaling a Trump boom?
Youtubeยท2025-11-11 22:00

Economic Growth Indicators - The stock market has shown significant growth since April, with the Dow Jones up 27%, Nasdaq up 53%, and S&P 500 up 37%, indicating a potential economic boom [1][2] - The strong stock market performance suggests that profits are robust, which is essential for economic health and stock performance [2] Capital Expenditure Trends - There is a notable capital expenditure (capex) boom across various sectors, driven by tax policies that allow immediate cost expensing for machinery, equipment, and advanced technologies [3][4] - Investments in AI and quantum computing are also contributing to this capex boom, signaling a positive outlook for future economic growth [3] Consumer Financial Impact - Consumers are expected to benefit from IRS withholding rate changes, potentially receiving between $150 billion to $200 billion next year, which will enhance disposable income [4] - The recovery of real worker wages, which fell by approximately $4,000 during the previous administration, has seen a rebound of about $1,500 in the first year of the current administration [6] Inflation and Price Stability - The Door Dash report indicates that the everyday essentials index has remained flat over the past year, with minimal increases in household costs, suggesting that inflation is not a significant concern [7][8] - Gasoline prices have declined, and overall goods prices have increased by less than 1%, further supporting the notion that inflation is manageable [8] Political and Economic Environment - The resolution of the government shutdown is expected to boost consumer confidence and overall economic growth, allowing for a continuation of the positive economic trends [9]