东莞证券研究所负责人曹君瑞：“十五五”规划建议夯实 中国式现代化战略根基

Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has been approved, providing direction for China's economic and social development over the next five years [1][6] - China's economy has shown resilience and strategic determination in the face of global trade changes, with a focus on high-quality development and structural upgrades [2][5] Economic Performance - In the first three quarters, China's total import and export volume reached 33.6078 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.0%, with exports at 19.945 trillion yuan, growing by 7.1% [2] - The export structure is improving, with mechanical and electrical products growing by 9.6%, accounting for 60.5% of total exports [2] - Trade with Belt and Road Initiative countries increased by 6.2% [2] Strategic Focus - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the importance of technological self-reliance and innovation as key drivers for modernizing the economy [4][5] - The plan aims to enhance the quality and scale of economic development through technological advancements and the establishment of a modern industrial system [3][4] Future Outlook - By 2024, the value added by the "three new" economy (new industries, new business formats, and new models) is expected to exceed 18% of GDP, indicating a shift in economic growth dynamics [4] - The focus will be on creating a globally competitive modern industrial system and transitioning from being an adapter of global rules to a standard-setter [4][5]