Core Insights - The current US-EU trade tensions have a limited direct impact on Eurozone economic growth, but negative effects are expected to significantly increase by 2026 [1] - If no easing mechanism is established by the end of this year, a series of chain reactions including investment contraction, capacity decline, and pressure on the job market may occur next year [1] Economic Impact - In 2025, trade friction is projected to reduce Eurozone economic growth by approximately 0.03 percentage points due to proactive measures taken by businesses, such as supply chain adjustments and market diversification [1] - By 2026, the drag on economic growth from trade friction is expected to rise significantly to between 0.5 and 0.6 percentage points as temporary strategies lose effectiveness and investment delays become apparent [1] Business Strategies - The BusinessEurope organization emphasizes that the current buffering measures employed by companies are short-term and not sustainable in the long run [1] - Continued policy uncertainty will make it difficult for businesses to maintain their current investment and production pace, leading to substantial pressure on overall economic performance [1] Call for Action - BusinessEurope has called for expedited dialogue between the US and EU to prevent 2026 from becoming a critical turning point for the negative impact of trade tensions on the real economy [1]
美欧贸易摩擦滞后效应显现 欧洲工商界预警2026年经济显著承压
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2025-11-12 02:56