智通财经网·2025-11-12 03:02Core Viewpoint - Oil stocks continue to rise, with CNOOC reaching a historical high, driven by geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ production decisions [1] Group 1: Company Performance - CNOOC (00883) increased by 3.66%, reaching 23.2 HKD, a new historical high [1] - PetroChina (00857) rose by 2.49%, priced at 9.04 HKD [1] - Sinopec (00386) saw a 2.28% increase, trading at 4.49 HKD [1] - CNOOC Services (02883) gained 0.88%, with a price of 8.03 HKD [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The entry of the largest U.S. aircraft carrier strike group into the Caribbean and military exercises in Venezuela contribute to rising geopolitical risks [1] - Guotai Junan Securities suggests that geopolitical tensions may support oil prices despite Trump's indecision on military action in Venezuela [1] - Everbright Securities indicates that OPEC+ halting production increases improves supply-demand balance, potentially supporting oil prices [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Guolian Minsheng Securities predicts that OPEC+ will restore production multiple times in 2025, which may suppress oil prices due to increased supply expectations [1] - The forecast for Brent and WTI average prices in Q3 2025 is 68.17 USD/barrel and 64.96 USD/barrel, reflecting year-on-year declines of 13.40% and 13.78% respectively [1] - Leading oil and gas state-owned enterprises are expected to mitigate the pressure on oil prices through continuous reserve increases and cost reductions, with potential performance recovery if terminal demand improves [1]