Core Viewpoint - Haitong International has raised its revenue forecasts for BeiGene (06160) for FY25-27 to $5.3 billion, $6.4 billion, and $7.1 billion respectively, reflecting a three-year revenue CAGR of 23% due to stronger-than-expected market performance of Zebrutinib in the US and Europe [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, BeiGene achieved revenue of $1.41 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 41% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.7%, with product revenue at $1.40 billion [1] - The company reported a gross margin of 86.1%, an increase of 3.1 percentage points year-on-year [1] - R&D expenses were $520 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.5% [1] Group 2: Product Performance - Zebrutinib's global revenue is expected to approach $3.9 billion in 2025, with Q3 2025 global revenue at $1.04 billion, a year-on-year increase of 50.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.6% [1] - In the US, Zebrutinib generated $740 million, a year-on-year increase of 46.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.0% [1] - In Europe, Zebrutinib's revenue was $160 million, a year-on-year increase of 67.5% [1] Group 3: Pipeline Developments - In the hematological malignancies area, the focus is on BCL-2 inhibitors and BTK CDAC [1] - Management anticipates data for Sotigalimab (BCL-2 inhibitor) in R/R MCL to be released at the 2025 ASH meeting, with plans to submit a US marketing application for R/R MCL [1] - For BTK CDAC, phase II clinical data for R/R CLL is expected in 1H26, and a phase III trial has been initiated [1] Group 4: Solid Tumor Developments - The company is focusing on CDK4 inhibitors, with ongoing phase II clinical trials exploring two dosage levels, showing high response rates that support the initiation of phase III trials [2] - The B7-H4 ADC (BG-C9074) has completed dose escalation and is currently undergoing dose optimization studies in ovarian cancer, endometrial cancer, and breast cancer [2] - The PRMT5i (BGB-58067) has shown good safety and efficacy data, while the GPC3-targeting T-cell activator has demonstrated effectiveness in previously treated liver cancer patients [2]
海通国际:维持百济神州“优于大市”评级目标价213.10港元