美国，伤不起

Core Points - The U.S. Senate has passed a temporary budget bill to end the federal government shutdown that has lasted over 40 days, marking the longest shutdown in U.S. history [1][3] - The shutdown has caused significant disruptions across various sectors, particularly affecting low-income families and federal employees [4][5] Group 1: Economic Impact - Millions of low-income families have had their food assistance benefits cut, and over 670,000 federal workers have been furloughed, with approximately 730,000 forced to work without pay [4] - The aviation industry has been severely impacted due to a shortage of air traffic controllers, leading to widespread flight cancellations and delays, which in turn affects commercial and tourism sectors [5] - The Congressional Budget Office has projected that the prolonged shutdown could reduce the annual GDP growth rate by 1 to 2 percentage points by Q4 2025 [5] Group 2: Consumer Confidence - The University of Michigan's monthly survey indicates that the U.S. consumer confidence index has dropped to 50.3, the lowest level since June 2022, with 62% of respondents reducing discretionary spending due to the shutdown [6] Group 3: Political Stalemate - The shutdown stems from a political deadlock between the two parties over subsidies related to the Affordable Care Act, with Democrats advocating for an extension and Republicans opposing it [7] - Attempts by moderate lawmakers to seek compromise solutions have been hindered by a lack of trust, making any short-term agreements uncertain [7] - Historical context shows that since 1976, the U.S. has experienced 20 funding gaps leading to 10 formal shutdowns, with the nature and frequency of these events evolving over time [9][10][11]