Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang·2025-11-12 05:20Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a significant shift with large-cap stocks showing strong performance, particularly the top 18 stocks, which collectively exceeded a market capitalization of 20 trillion yuan, indicating a potential change in market dynamics and investor sentiment [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - On November 12, the A-share market saw a collective rise in the top 18 stocks, with Agricultural Bank reaching a new historical high, while the overall market showed mixed results with over 3,800 stocks declining [1]. - The major indices initially faced declines, with the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index dropping over 1%, but later rebounded due to the strong performance of large-cap stocks [1]. Group 2: Fund Flows - Southbound capital saw a significant net inflow of 12.748 billion yuan during the week of November 3 to November 7, with the banking, non-banking financial, and oil and petrochemical sectors being the primary beneficiaries [2]. - The net inflow amounts for these sectors were 8.27 billion yuan for banking, 5.35 billion yuan for non-banking financials, and 4.81 billion yuan for oil and petrochemicals, totaling approximately 18.4 billion yuan [2]. Group 3: Market Logic - Analysts suggest that the shift towards large-cap stocks may be driven by changes in market risk appetite, with current macro leverage at approximately 12.46 times and high valuations in the technology sector [3]. - The market is experiencing increased valuation and sentiment risks, with a decrease in liquidity for sell orders, indicating heightened selling pressure [3]. - Recommendations for asset allocation include increasing exposure to domestic stocks and commodities, with a focus on large-cap stocks and balanced growth-value strategies, particularly in sectors like coal, photovoltaics, telecommunications, and agriculture [3].