Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang·2025-11-12 06:43Group 1 - The 2026 Capital Market Annual Conference by CITIC Securities will focus on global macroeconomic trends and investment strategies under the theme "Striving for a New Journey" [1] - CITIC Securities' Chief Economist Mingming forecasts a 5.0% growth for China's economy in 2025 and around 4.9% in 2026, with a more proactive fiscal policy expected [1] - The fiscal deficit rate is anticipated to remain around 4%, with an increase in special bond quotas directed towards project construction [1] Group 2 - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period is expected to see an ideal economic growth rate of approximately 4.8%, with a focus on balancing demand-side policies [2] - The expansion of service consumption is identified as key to improving consumption rates, with policies expected to target income distribution reform and enhance the "wealth effect" of the capital market [2] - A-share companies are transitioning into multinational corporations, with the potential for Chinese enterprises to gain pricing power in the global value chain during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [2] Group 3 - The market liquidity is characterized by the influx of absolute return funds, contributing to a long-term decline in the volatility of broad-based A-share indices [3] - Three key industry trends are highlighted: upgrading traditional manufacturing, the globalization of Chinese enterprises, and the expansion of AI applications [3] - The cyclical support for the Chinese economy is increasing, which may help mitigate downward pressures, while the focus remains on expanding consumption and nurturing new growth sectors [3]