Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley predicts that Xpeng Motors (09868) will see a strong improvement in sentiment starting mid-2026, coinciding with the large-scale production of physical AI projects [1] Group 1: Automotive Business - From 2026 to 2027, the automotive business will remain the primary revenue source for Xpeng, but non-automotive business is expected to show greater growth potential over the next 3 to 5 years [1] - Xpeng's management anticipates achieving breakeven in the automotive business by Q4 2025, which will provide more stable cash flow to support humanoid robots and L4-level Robotaxi projects [1] Group 2: Strategic Collaborations - Following the collaboration with Volkswagen in July 2023, Xpeng is further opening its ecosystem and seeking strategic partnerships in humanoid robots and Robotaxi initiatives [1] - The company has announced a partnership with Amap to provide Robotaxi services, with expectations of forming more collaborations in the next 12 months in preparation for a large-scale launch by the end of 2026 [1] Group 3: Financial Outlook - Morgan Stanley raised the target price for Xpeng's H-shares from HKD 119 to HKD 131, maintaining an "Overweight" rating [1] - The report indicates that the increasing competition and market saturation in the domestic electric vehicle sector may lead to potential discounts, but the growth in non-automotive sectors could offset these challenges [1] Group 4: R&D Synergy - The report highlights a high degree of synergy between the autonomous driving and humanoid robot R&D teams, with 70% of R&D investments being shared [1]
大摩：小鹏汽车-W(09868)非汽车业务未来3至5年料实现更大增长 升目标价至131港元