Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - London gold is currently trading above $4125, with a price of $4128.55 per ounce, reflecting a 0.07% increase, and has seen a high of $4144.99 and a low of $4098.29 during the session [1] - The short-term outlook for London gold appears to be leaning towards a volatile trading pattern [1] Group 2: Employment Market Insights - Recent data indicates a clear picture of a weakening job market, contrasting sharply with previous expectations of sustained strength [2] - The ADP report shows that, as of October 25, 2025, U.S. private employers averaged weekly layoffs of 11,250, highlighting the impact of recent government shutdowns on employment data [2] - The October non-farm payroll report revealed only 150,000 new jobs added, falling short of market expectations [2] - Economic slowdown signals have been accumulating, with the Federal Reserve maintaining a hawkish stance through multiple rate hikes to combat inflation [2] - Signs of economic weakness began to emerge in late summer and early fall of 2025, with manufacturing and services PMI entering contraction territory and consumer spending growth slowing [2] - A series of weak labor data starting in October has shifted market sentiment towards expectations of Federal Reserve policy easing [2] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December 2025 has surged to the 67%-70% range, a significant increase from previous forecasts [2] Group 3: Technical Analysis of Gold Prices - The 4070-4075 range is identified as a key Fibonacci retracement level and a critical support area for the current week [3] - The 4145 area is being tested repeatedly, which is close to previous high points of 4155-4161; a breakout after adjustment could lead to further upward movement towards 4165 and the 4188 level [3]
伦敦金反弹走涨 美国显现疲软劳动力数据
Jin Tou Wang·2025-11-12 10:00