委内瑞拉局势持续紧张能否引爆黄金新一轮行情？

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices have shown a slight correction after a significant rise, currently stabilizing above $4,100 per ounce, with potential resistance at $4,145 and support at $4,095, indicating a bearish trend if the resistance is not broken [1][2] Geopolitical Factors - The U.S. military has increased its presence in the Caribbean, with the deployment of the USS Ford aircraft carrier strike group, amid threats from former President Trump regarding military action against Venezuela [1][2] - Venezuela's military has entered a state of readiness, conducting exercises and establishing a comprehensive defense command to prepare for potential armed conflict, reflecting the long-standing tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela [3] Market Implications - If U.S. military actions escalate, gold prices are likely to break the $4,145 resistance and may reach $4,170 or even $4,200 due to panic buying [2][3] - Conversely, if diplomatic efforts succeed in de-escalating tensions, gold prices may remain in a range-bound movement, awaiting new market drivers [2][3] Investment Methods - Three primary methods for investing in gold are identified: physical gold, paper gold, and gold derivatives, each catering to different risk preferences and investment strategies [4][5][6][7] - Physical gold is suitable for conservative investors but comes with higher holding costs and lower liquidity [5] - Paper gold offers flexibility and lower costs, ideal for short-term trading, but lacks physical ownership [6] - Gold derivatives provide leverage and potential for higher returns, but carry significant risks and are suited for aggressive investors [7]