极端天气频发 全球葡萄酒连续三年“低产”

Core Insights - The International Organization of Vine and Wine predicts a slight increase in global wine production in 2025, but it will remain below average due to extreme weather conditions impacting yields for the third consecutive year [1] Production Forecast - Global wine production is estimated to reach approximately 23.2 billion liters in 2025, a 3% increase from 2024, but still below average levels [1] - The 2024 production is noted to be the lowest since 1961 [1] Regional Analysis - The European Union accounts for 60% of global wine production [1] - France is expected to have its lowest wine production since 1957 in 2025 [1] - Spain's production has fallen to a 30-year low [1] - Italy's production is returning to near-normal levels [1] - In the Northern Hemisphere, the United States, the fourth-largest wine producer, is projected to see a 3% year-on-year increase in production [1] - In the Southern Hemisphere, wine production is expected to grow by 7% year-on-year, although it remains 5% below average levels [1] - Countries like South Africa, Australia, New Zealand, and Brazil are experiencing production rebounds, while Chile faces significant declines due to heatwaves and drought [1] Climate Impact - The decline in wine production over the past three years is attributed to climate change, with regions experiencing extreme temperatures, droughts, and unexpected weather events such as heavy rains and frosts [1] - The General Director of the International Organization of Vine and Wine, John Buck, emphasized the remarkable impact of these climatic changes over the last three years [1]