港股定价权增强 市场正循环显现

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market has reached a new milestone with southbound capital inflows exceeding 1.3 trillion HKD this year, marking a significant increase in liquidity and activity, driven by strategic allocations from mainland investors seeking undervalued assets and high-quality stocks [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 10, 2023, the southbound capital through the Stock Connect has net inflows of 66.54 billion HKD, bringing the total for the year to 13,053.49 billion HKD, surpassing the 1.3 trillion HKD mark [2]. - Major indices in the Hong Kong market, including the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng Tech Index, and Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, have all seen year-to-date increases of over 30%, ranking among the top global markets [2]. Group 2: Factors Driving Inflows - The influx of southbound capital is attributed to five main factors: valuation discounts compared to A-shares, a declining domestic interest rate environment, continuous optimization of the Stock Connect mechanism, inherent demand from long-term domestic funds, and global expectations of liquidity easing [3][4]. - The phenomenon of "asset scarcity" is also noted, where domestic funds are seeking effective allocation opportunities in the Hong Kong market due to limited high-return assets available domestically [4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Trends - The continuous inflow of southbound capital has improved liquidity in the Hong Kong market and enhanced the pricing power of mainland investors [5]. - In 2024, southbound capital is expected to account for approximately 34.64% of the total trading volume in the Hong Kong market, a significant increase from previous years [6]. - The composition of southbound capital is primarily driven by insurance funds and public funds, with public funds showing a compound annual growth rate of 23.5% in their holdings from 2020 to 2025 [6]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The Hong Kong market is anticipated to benefit from a "positive cycle" as more mainland companies list in Hong Kong, attracting further capital inflows and enhancing liquidity [8]. - Despite significant gains in the Hong Kong market this year, its valuation remains attractive compared to other global markets, providing further incentive for mainland investors to allocate capital southward [9].