市场中长期向上趋势不改 机构看好证券行业2026年投资机会

Core Viewpoint - The securities industry is expected to see significant performance growth and a return to high value due to low valuations and potential expansion in ROE for leading brokerages by 2026 [1][2][6] Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share market has been on an upward trend, with the margin trading balance reaching 23,941.58 billion yuan and financing balance at 23,783.90 billion yuan by the end of Q3 [2] - In the first three quarters of 2025, listed brokerages achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 169.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 63% [2] - The average daily trading volume reached a historical high of 16.5 billion yuan, with total trading volume for the first three quarters amounting to 301.56 trillion yuan [2] Group 2: Business Growth Areas - Retail and international businesses are contributing new growth to the industry, with significant increases in new accounts and financing balances [3] - The investment banking market is recovering, and the derivatives business is expected to see regulatory improvements, enhancing overall performance [3] - The application of AI in the industry is progressing, with leading firms exploring innovative AI applications as a new growth point [3] Group 3: Valuation and Investment Opportunities - The securities sector is currently undervalued, with a PB ratio of 1.52, indicating potential for valuation recovery [4] - Analysts suggest that core businesses such as public funds, overseas operations, and investment banking will drive profitability improvements [4][5] - The industry is expected to benefit from liquidity improvements and favorable policies, with ROE projected to rise to 7.7% by 2026 [6]