Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2025-11-12 23:55Market Overview - The three major U.S. stock indices showed mixed performance, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 0.68% to set a new closing high, while the Nasdaq Composite fell by 0.26%, and the S&P 500 increased by 0.06% [1] Individual Stocks - Bank stocks experienced a broad rally, with Goldman Sachs rising over 3%, and Citigroup and Morgan Stanley both increasing by over 2% [2] - Large technology stocks had mixed results, with AMD rising by 9%, while Oracle fell by over 3% and Tesla dropped by over 2% [2] - Chinese concept stocks saw a decline, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index falling by 1.46%. Stocks such as Xpeng Motors, NIO, iQIYI, and Baidu dropped over 2%, while Li Auto, Alibaba, and JD.com fell by over 1% [2] Gold and Silver Market - International gold prices surged, with spot gold surpassing $4200 per ounce for the first time since October 21, marking an intraday increase of over 2%. Spot silver also saw a significant rise, climbing over 4% at one point [2] Federal Reserve and Economic Policy - There are expectations on Wall Street that the record-long U.S. government shutdown may soon come to an end, as the House of Representatives is set to vote on a temporary funding bill previously passed by the Senate [3] - The Federal Reserve is undergoing personnel changes, with Atlanta Fed President Bostic unexpectedly announcing his retirement effective February next year. Discussions regarding the next Fed chair have surfaced, with Kevin Hassett indicating he would accept the position if invited by Trump [3] - Most regional Fed officials are not actively pushing for a rate cut in December, with Bostic supporting the idea of maintaining rates until inflation reaches 2%. Boston Fed President Collins also favors keeping rates unchanged to curb inflation [3] - According to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December is 59.4%, while the probability of maintaining rates is 40.6%. The likelihood of cumulative rate cuts of 25 basis points by January is 51.5%, with a 23.5% chance of rates remaining unchanged and a 25% chance of a 50 basis point cut [4][5]