“三年大考”来临 发起式基金命运不一

Core Viewpoint - The recent data from the third quarter has raised alarms regarding the survival of several initiated funds, highlighting a trend of accelerated exits from the market due to persistent scale challenges [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Performance and Challenges - Many initiated funds are facing imminent liquidation, with some funds, like a certain enhanced index fund, at risk of termination if their scale remains below 200 million yuan by November 2025 [2]. - As of the end of the third quarter, several initiated funds established in 2022 are struggling with scales only in the millions, indicating a high risk of liquidation without new capital inflow [2]. - Some funds have managed to survive the "three-year test" by temporarily boosting their scales through short-term inflows, but this is not a sustainable solution [3]. Group 2: Successful Funds - A few initiated funds have emerged as "star products," achieving significant growth and avoiding liquidation risks, such as the Yongying Technology Smart Selection fund, which has seen a 246.27% increase since its inception [4]. - The success of these funds is attributed to their establishment during market downturns, allowing them to capitalize on undervalued assets when market sentiment improves [5]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Trends - The initiated funds are experiencing a rapid exit trend, with nearly 20 new active equity initiated funds announced since October, despite the overall pessimism regarding their market performance [7]. - The competition within the fund industry is intensifying, leading to a concentration of resources towards high-performing funds, while underperforming funds face the risk of being eliminated [8]. - The operational costs associated with smaller fund sizes can erode returns, making it difficult for these funds to attract new investments and grow their scales [7].