中信证券:AI新材料、人形机器人、卫星互联网等主题有望表现活跃 把握催化因素交易时点
智通财经网·2025-11-13 00:41

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities highlights several key themes expected to perform actively by 2026, including AI new materials, humanoid robots, satellite internet, military new materials, nuclear fusion, hydrogen energy, and SAF (Sustainable Aviation Fuel). The firm emphasizes the importance of policy, events, and performance releases as catalysts for trading opportunities in high-growth sectors and quality tracks [1]. AI New Materials - The trading narrative for upstream materials in PCB (Printed Circuit Board) is driven by "AI computing demand → High-speed PCB/CCL shortage → High-end material price and volume increase → Equipment investment leading" [1]. - In advanced packaging materials, the dual drivers are "foreign advanced packaging expansion realization + domestic HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) promotion and local production line introduction," with a focus on overseas CoWoS/SoIC ramp-up and domestic HBM validation and volume increase [2]. - For semiconductor materials, the continuous push for self-control and the expansion of domestic storage manufacturers, along with HBM3 product progress, are expected to drive demand for upstream materials and equipment components [2]. Humanoid Robots - The period from Q4 2025 to H1 2026 is critical for humanoid robot materials, with trading rhythms focusing on "event certainty" (Tesla Gen3 finalization/mass production guidance) and "cost inflection points" [3]. - Key materials include rare earth magnetic materials, PEEK/CF-PEEK, and UHMWPE/PPS/LCP, with recommendations to prioritize high-certainty material leaders and companies with cost-reduction processes/patent advantages [3]. Satellite Internet - The development of satellite internet is constrained by rocket launch capabilities, with breakthroughs in domestic reusable rocket technology expected by Q4 2025 [4]. - The capital market's focus has shifted from early thematic trading to the acceleration of satellite constellations and the performance realization of related companies [4]. Nuclear Fusion - The upcoming increase in bidding for nuclear fusion projects is anticipated to exceed expectations, with total investment in domestic nuclear fusion devices projected to exceed 300 billion from 2025 to 2030 [5]. - The industry is expected to develop steadily through a three-step strategy of "experimental pile - engineering demonstration pile - commercial pile" [5]. Solid-State Batteries - The solid-state battery industry is expected to experience a multi-dimensional resonance of policy, technology, and industry in 2025, with significant developments anticipated in 2026 [6]. Wind Power - The domestic wind power installation is expected to maintain high prosperity due to the tilt of new energy investment towards wind power, with a construction peak anticipated from 2026 [7][8]. Hydrogen Energy - The hydrogen energy sector is witnessing accelerated application scenario expansion, supported by domestic and international policies aimed at promoting clean hydrogen applications and green fuel projects [9]. SAF (Sustainable Aviation Fuel) - The application of SAF is expected to grow rapidly, with a potential mandatory blending policy in China by 2026, and global SAF demand projected to reach 15.11 million tons by 2030 [10]. Military New Materials - The military new materials sector is poised to benefit from the new strategic cycle of national defense construction and military industry development, with three main investment lines: military trade growth, the "14th Five-Year Plan," and domestic substitution and supply chain security [11].