智通财经网·2025-11-13 01:40Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index opened down 0.53%, with the Hang Seng Tech Index falling 0.82%. China National Offshore Oil Corporation dropped over 2%, and China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation fell over 1%. China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited saw a decline of nearly 8% as its controlling shareholder, China Resources Land Limited, proposed to place shares at HKD 41.7 each [1] - Guotai Junan Securities indicated that the foundation for a bull market in Hong Kong stocks remains intact, but the evolution is likely to be characterized by "oscillating upward with a gradually rising center" rather than a rapid one-sided increase. The fundamental drivers in November are strong, emphasizing the value of high-prosperity sectors [1][2] - Wang Qian from Yongying Fund noted that the recent adjustment in Hong Kong stocks is mainly due to weakened upward momentum and increased uncertainties, leading some investors to take profits. Additionally, the market remains uncertain about the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts in December [1][2] Group 2 - Market focus will shift towards policy implementation and interest rate trends by year-end. As valuations of Hong Kong stocks become more attractive next year, a confirmed trend reversal in U.S. interest rates or clearer signals of domestic economic recovery could help the market regain upward momentum. Key sectors to watch include internet, high dividends, and high-end manufacturing [2] - The valuation of the Hang Seng Internet Technology Index is currently at a PE ratio of 21.45, which is at a historical low of 16.09% over the past decade, indicating significant valuation recovery potential [2][3] - The core narrative of Hong Kong's internet sector is shifting from user growth and business models to new growth curves driven by AI empowerment [2] Group 3 - Zhang Xia, Chief Strategy Analyst at招商证券, stated that the Hang Seng Tech Index is one of the few indices with a current PE ratio below its historical average, indicating substantial valuation recovery potential [3] - The Hong Kong market is primarily driven by liquidity, and uncertainties in external liquidity may lead to short-term oscillations. However, in the medium to long term, the opening of the U.S. interest rate cut cycle and the end of the Fed's balance sheet reduction could lead to a resonance of easing policies between China and the U.S. [3] - The current economic fundamentals in China are stable and improving, with continuous policy support, which has significantly boosted market confidence [3][4] Group 4 - Guotai Haitong Securities highlighted that the current position of Hong Kong stocks is not high compared to historical and overseas levels, suggesting potential for upward movement. The market is expected to attract over 1.5 trillion yuan in inflows next year due to low allocation and the backdrop of U.S. interest rate cuts [4] - Hong Kong is seen as a gathering place for innovative assets, with sectors like internet, new consumption, innovative pharmaceuticals, and dividends expected to support the ongoing bull market [4] - JPMorgan noted that the current valuation of Hong Kong stocks remains relatively low, supported by multiple favorable factors, and anticipates that the current rally will continue into next year [4][5]