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Diamond Hill Large Cap Concentrated Fund Q3 2025 Commentary
Seeking Alphaยท2025-11-13 02:25

Market Performance - US stocks gained over 8% in Q3, with calendar-year gains exceeding 14% as measured by the Russell 3000 Index [2] - Small-cap stocks outperformed with a rise of over 12%, while large caps gained roughly 8% and mid caps were up 5% [2] - The technology sector, driven by artificial intelligence, led the market with a 13% increase, followed closely by communication services at 12% [3][4] Sector Analysis - The consumer discretionary sector also contributed positively, rising nearly 9%, while consumer staples was the only sector to decline, falling by 2.6% [3][4] - The ongoing AI boom continues to significantly impact technology and communication services, driving much of the Russell 1000 Index's positive returns [4] Company Performance - Martin Marietta Materials and Sysco Corporation were top contributors in Q3, with Martin Marietta optimizing its product offerings and Sysco benefiting from internal initiatives [7][8] - General Motors saw improved clarity on tariffs and lower interest rates, which could enhance customer demand [9] - Labcorp experienced strong utilization in the healthcare sector, while ConocoPhillips benefited from synergies from its Marathon integration [9] Portfolio Activity - New positions were initiated in Walt Disney and Zoetis, with Disney's streaming and parks businesses expected to drive earnings growth despite challenges in sports and linear TV segments [15] - Zoetis, a leader in animal health, has a strong product portfolio and growth drivers, allowing for a position to be established below intrinsic value [16] Market Outlook - There is a growing divide in consumer spending, with higher-income individuals maintaining or increasing spending, while lower-income groups face job scarcity and inflation pressures [18] - The market's rebound has led to above-average valuation levels, making it challenging to expect returns matching historical averages over the next five years [19] - Sentiment around AI is driving equity market returns, but there are concerns that this optimism may be disconnected from reality [20][22]