Government Shutdown and Economic Impact - The House of Representatives is set to end the longest government shutdown in U.S. history with a vote on a stopgap funding package to restart food assistance, pay federal workers, and revive the air traffic control system [1][12] - The government shutdown has negatively impacted the economy and created a data gap for the Federal Reserve and traders, leading to reliance on private economic indicators [9][12] Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average reached a record-high close, lifted by gains of about 3.5% in Goldman Sachs and UnitedHealth Group, with the index up approximately 13% in 2025 [3][12] - The S&P 500 rose 0.06% to end at 6,850.92 points, while the Nasdaq declined 0.26% to 23,406.46 points [7][12] - Six of the 11 S&P 500 sector indexes rose, with healthcare leading at a 1.36% increase and financials gaining 0.9% [8][12] Sector Rotation and Earnings - There has been a rotation away from Nasdaq-heavy leadership toward sectors like healthcare and financials, as indicated by comments from investment professionals [6][12] - A critical component for market broadening is the need for earnings to broaden as well [7][12] Job Market and Economic Indicators - ADP's preliminary payroll figures indicated private employers shed an average of 11,250 jobs per week for the four weeks ending October 25, signaling continued weakness in the labor market [9][12] - Traders are pricing in a 65% probability of a quarter-point reduction in interest rates at the upcoming December monetary policy meeting [10][12] Notable Stock Movements - Tech-related stocks such as Amazon and Tesla fell about 2% each, while Palantir lost 3.6% and Oracle declined 3.9% [6][12] - AMD saw a significant rally of 9% after announcing a $100 billion data-center revenue target [12]
Dow notches record-high close while Amazon weighs on Nasdaq