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光大证券:维持贝壳-W(02423)“买入”评级 Q3收入降速 着眼效率提升
智通财经网·2025-11-13 02:54

Core Viewpoint - The report from Everbright Securities indicates that due to ongoing pressures in the real estate industry, the profit forecasts for Beike-W (02423) have been revised downwards for 2025-2027, with expected net profits of 3.718 billion, 4.774 billion, and 5.820 billion yuan, representing decreases of 11%, 8%, and 4% respectively. The company, being a leader in real estate brokerage, is expected to benefit from a recovery in the real estate market, with significant growth potential in home decoration and rental sectors, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]. Group 1 - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenues of 23.1 billion yuan, net profit of 750 million yuan, and Non-GAAP net profit of 1.29 billion yuan, showing year-on-year changes of +2.1%, -36.1%, and -27.8% respectively [2]. - The company's revenue growth is slowing down throughout the year, with Q3 showing a 2.1% increase year-on-year. The second-hand housing GTV was 505.6 billion yuan, with revenue of 6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year change of +5.8% and -3.6% respectively [3]. - The new housing GTV in Q3 was 196.3 billion yuan, with revenue of 6.6 billion yuan, showing year-on-year declines of -13.8% and -14.1% respectively [3]. Group 2 - The home decoration and rental businesses achieved revenues of 4.3 billion and 5.7 billion yuan in Q3, with year-on-year growth of +2.1% and +45.3% respectively. Both segments have shown a gradual decline in revenue growth over the past two years [4]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 was 21.4%, down by 1.3 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a decrease in the revenue share from the higher-margin new housing business [5]. - The company has been enhancing shareholder returns, with a share buyback amounting to 280 million USD in Q3, marking the highest quarterly buyback in nearly two years [5].