特稿丨盘点美政府“停摆”的经济民生“坏账”

Core Points - The U.S. government shutdown lasted for a record 43 days and has now ended with the passing of a temporary funding bill, but the economic and social impacts are significant and lasting [1][3] Economic Impact - The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the shutdown could lead to a $11 billion economic loss if it lasts for 6 weeks, and up to $14 billion if it extends to 8 weeks, with a potential decrease in GDP growth rate by 1 to 2 percentage points in Q4 [7] - The shutdown has exacerbated an already weak U.S. economy, with canceled flights and delayed consumer spending contributing to long-term economic repercussions [7] Social Impact - Approximately 42 million Americans are affected by disruptions in the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program due to the shutdown, leading to significant hardship for low-income families [2] - Federal employees have also faced wage delays, with some relying on food assistance programs during the shutdown [2] Transportation Sector Impact - The shutdown has caused significant disruptions in the aviation sector, with thousands of flights delayed or canceled, leading to operational chaos at airports [4][6] - The Federal Aviation Administration has reduced flight numbers at 40 major airports, with daily cancellations reaching nearly 3,000 and delays exceeding 10,000 flights on certain days [4][6] Political Context - The shutdown reflects deep political polarization in the U.S., with both parties blaming each other for the suffering of the public, particularly low-income individuals [2][3] - The political stalemate has made it increasingly difficult to reach compromises on critical issues such as government funding [7]