视频丨德国经济专家委员会：美关税政策阻碍德国经济复苏

Core Insights - The German Economic Expert Committee forecasts weak economic growth for Germany in 2025 and 2026, lower than previous expectations, attributing this to U.S. tariff policies hindering recovery [1][3]. Economic Performance - The report indicates that Germany's GDP growth for this year is projected at 0.2%, with a revised forecast of 0.9% for 2026, down from an earlier estimate of 1% and below the German government's expectation of 1.3% [3]. - After two years of recession, Germany's economy is experiencing minimal growth, necessitating improvements in productivity, innovation, and investment to return to a growth trajectory [3]. Global Trade and Protectionism - The current global economic landscape is characterized by protectionist tendencies and unpredictable U.S. trade policies, negatively impacting Germany as an export-oriented nation [5]. - The decline in global trade poses significant challenges for Germany, which has not benefited from the economic recovery in import and export markets due to U.S. tariffs and the appreciation of the euro [5]. Domestic Economic Measures - The German government has implemented a series of economic stimulus measures, including increased investment, simplified approval processes, and expanded infrastructure projects [7]. - However, experts argue that to overcome low growth, Germany must achieve breakthroughs in digitalization, reduce energy costs, and enhance foreign trade, as short-term stimulus measures may not yield long-term results [7]. Recommendations for Future Growth - The German Economic Expert Committee emphasizes the need to eliminate trade barriers within the EU, strengthen capital markets, and address fragmentation in the defense market to fully leverage opportunities in the European single market [5].