黄金，4连涨

Core Insights - International gold prices have experienced a significant increase, marking a fourth consecutive day of gains, with prices surpassing $4200 per ounce [1][3]. Gold Market Dynamics - On November 12, COMEX gold rose by 2.07% to $4201.4 per ounce, while London spot gold closed at $4194.605 per ounce, up 1.68% [1]. - Domestic gold jewelry prices have adjusted accordingly, with notable increases in prices from major retailers such as Chow Tai Fook and Chow Sang Sang [3]. - The recent rise in gold prices is influenced by a decline in U.S. Treasury yields and expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December [3][4]. Economic Factors - The U.S. government shutdown has created economic pressures, leading to a reliance on private indicators for economic assessment [3]. - The labor market in the U.S. remains weak, as indicated by data from ADP, contributing to the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3][4]. Central Bank Actions - The trend of monetary easing continues, with expectations of a cumulative 25 basis points rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year, supporting the value of gold [4]. - Global central banks have maintained a strong demand for gold, with an average net purchase of over 1000 tons per year since 2022, significantly above previous averages [4]. Investor Behavior - The demand for gold as a hedge against uncertainty remains robust, driven by various geopolitical risks [4]. - Investors are advised to monitor market changes closely and manage their gold investments based on personal risk tolerance and investment needs [4]. Banking Adjustments - Recent adjustments in gold accumulation business by domestic banks, such as Citic Bank and China Construction Bank, reflect changing market conditions [4][6]. - China Construction Bank has introduced new rules regarding large redemptions, which may affect liquidity for investors [6].