港股红利年内涨幅超越恒生科技，重视红利的关注价值——银华投顾每日观点2025.11.12

Core Insights - The central viewpoint of the article indicates that the central bank's third-quarter monetary policy report suggests a policy combination of "stable total volume and structural strength," which implies a need to moderately lower expectations for significant short-term monetary policy easing, leading to a relatively calm period for policies, data, and external environments in the near term, with the market likely to continue fluctuating [1][2][5] Monetary Policy - The central bank emphasizes a scientific approach to financial total indicators, aligning social financing scale and money supply growth with nominal economic growth, while acknowledging that a slightly lower loan growth rate is reasonable [2] - The report highlights the ongoing transformation of the monetary policy adjustment framework, focusing more on price-based regulation and enhancing the linkage between interest rate adjustments on banks' assets and liabilities, thereby supporting banks in stabilizing net interest margins and broadening the counter-cyclical adjustment space for monetary policy [2] Market Performance - As of November 11, 2025, the Hang Seng Tech Total Return Index has seen a cumulative increase of 33.88% this year, while the defensive Hang Seng High Dividend Index has outperformed the tech index, with a cumulative increase of 33.07% [3][5] - The maximum drawdown for the Hang Seng High Dividend Index is only 13.56%, compared to a maximum drawdown of 30.5% for the Hang Seng Tech Index, indicating a significantly better holding experience for high dividend stocks [3][5] Investment Strategy - Given the negative correlation observed between the Hang Seng Tech and high dividend stocks since October, investors in tech stocks may consider maintaining a focus on dividend stocks to reduce portfolio volatility [3][5] - The article suggests that in the context of the global AI investment phase and the high valuations in the stock market, dividend assets may continue to outperform tech stocks for a period [5]