美国政府停摆落幕 美指短线冲高遇阻

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the end of the U.S. government shutdown has led to a temporary boost in the dollar index, but concerns over potential economic slowdown and increased expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut are limiting the dollar's rebound [1][2] - The signing of the funding bill by Trump, which ended the longest government shutdown in history, initially pushed the dollar higher, but the market remains cautious due to rising rate cut expectations [1] - Market pricing for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December has increased to 64%, reflecting a 5 percentage point rise from the previous day, indicating a growing consensus on the need for preventive rate cuts due to economic impacts from the shutdown [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis of the dollar index shows that after a period of decline, it found support around 99.40 and has established a short-term rebound structure, but momentum has weakened near resistance levels [2] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has risen to 52, indicating a neutral to strong condition, but the rebound momentum remains moderate and has not yet entered a strong territory [2] - The dollar index is currently in a "short-term bullish support, medium-term bearish pressure" scenario, with future movements expected to be influenced by U.S. CPI data and comments from Federal Reserve officials [2]