预计2025年全球葡萄酒产量2320万千升，增长3%

Core Insights - The global wine production has faced a decline for three consecutive years due to extreme weather conditions, with a slight projected increase in 2025 [2] - Climate change and shifting consumer habits are expected to continue impacting global wine production negatively [2] Production Estimates - The International Organization of Vine and Wine estimates that global wine production in 2025 will be approximately 23.2 million kiloliters, a 3% increase from 2024, but still below average levels [2] - The 2024 production is noted to be the lowest since 1961 [2] Regional Production Trends - The European Union accounts for 60% of global wine production, with France expected to have its lowest production since 1957 and Spain at a 30-year low [2] - Italy's production is returning to near-normal levels, while some Central and Eastern European countries have seen increases [2] - In the Northern Hemisphere, the United States, the fourth-largest wine producer, is projected to see a 3% year-on-year increase in production [2] - The Southern Hemisphere is expected to see a 7% increase in wine production, although it remains 5% below average levels, with South Africa, Australia, New Zealand, and Brazil experiencing rebounds, while Chile faces significant declines due to heatwaves and drought [2] Climate Impact - The Secretary General of the International Organization of Vine and Wine, John Buck, highlighted that the decline in wine production over the past three years is primarily due to climate change, with regions experiencing extreme temperatures, droughts, and unexpected weather events [2]