智通财经网·2025-11-14 00:46Core Viewpoint - The uncertainty caused by the U.S. government shutdown is impacting the Federal Reserve's decision-making, leading to a risk-averse sentiment in the market, which has resulted in significant declines in high-growth and AI-related stocks [1][9]. Market Reaction - The U.S. stock market experienced its largest drop in nearly a month, with the Nasdaq 100 index falling by 2% and the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both down by 1.7% [3]. - High-growth stocks, particularly those favored by retail investors, saw their largest declines since April, with a notable drop in AI-related stocks [2][6]. Economic Data Impact - The government shutdown has delayed the release of key economic data, including unemployment claims and inflation figures, contributing to market anxiety [10]. - The lack of critical economic reports has left investors struggling to assess the economic landscape, further exacerbating market volatility [10]. Interest Rate Expectations - Swap traders have reduced the probability of a rate cut in December to approximately 50%, down from 72% a week prior, reflecting a shift in market sentiment [1]. - The uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's future actions, particularly in light of high inflation and a weak job market, is a primary source of market anxiety [9][13]. Stock Performance - AI-related stocks have seen significant declines, with companies like Sandisk and Astera Labs dropping 14% and 8.4% respectively, while Nvidia and Broadcom also faced losses [6]. - The retail investor sentiment index has shown a notable decrease, with the Citi U.S. Retail Favorites Index down 6%, marking its largest drop since April [8].