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锂电猛涨,谁将是下一个细分王者?丨每日研选
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2025-11-14 01:00

Group 1: Industry Overview - The lithium battery sector has shown strong fluctuations since October, driven by rising upstream raw material prices, unexpected demand for energy storage lithium batteries, and continuous growth in new energy vehicle sales [1] - Upstream raw material prices have increased significantly, with lithium hexafluorophosphate rising by 105% to 123,000 yuan/ton as of November 11, and other materials like electrolyte and lithium carbonate also seeing over 15% increases since early October [1] - The energy storage cell market is experiencing a "full production and full sales" situation, with a surge in demand for high-quality cells due to policy shifts from "mandatory storage" to "independent storage" [1] Group 2: Downstream Developments - In October, China's new energy vehicle sales reached 1.715 million units, marking a year-on-year increase of 19.93% and a month-on-month increase of 6.92%, with sales accounting for 51.63% of the total [2] - By October 2025, the installed capacity of power batteries in China is expected to reach 84.1 GWh, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 42.06% [2] Group 3: Investment Insights - Institutions suggest focusing on the trends in upstream raw material prices, monthly sales, domestic and international policies, and advancements in solid-state batteries [3] - The demand for iron-lithium batteries has exceeded expectations, leading to a potential price increase for VC (vinylene carbonate), an important additive in electrolytes, as the industry is currently operating at full capacity [3] - The growth in energy storage demand is expected to positively adjust the outlook for the phosphorus industry chain, with a recommendation to focus on companies with strong supply capabilities in the phosphate ore segment [3]