中原证券:机械行业25Q3行业景气向上 盈利能力持续改善
智通财经网·2025-11-14 02:31

Core Insights - The mechanical industry under CITIC reported steady growth in Q3 2025, with revenue increasing by 5.98% year-on-year and net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 12.91% [1] - The report indicates a continuous improvement in profitability, with traditional cyclical sub-industries recovering and growth sub-industries showing significant differentiation, with some starting to reverse from the bottom towards performance inflection points [1] Industry Performance - In Q3 2025, the CITIC mechanical industry achieved operating revenue of 1,888.843 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.98%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 128.442 billion, up 12.91% year-on-year [1] - The adjusted net profit reached 109.875 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.12%, with gross margin and net margin at 22.21% and 7.37%, respectively, showing increases of 0.36 percentage points and 1.83 percentage points compared to the 2024 annual report [1] - The weighted ROE stands at 6.52%, surpassing the full-year figure for 2024, indicating ongoing improvement in profitability [1] Sub-Industry Analysis - In Q3 2025, sub-industries such as lithium battery equipment, shipbuilding, lifting and transportation equipment, and service robots saw adjusted net profit growth exceeding 50% [2] - Other sub-industries, including oil and gas equipment, laser processing equipment, nuclear power equipment, railway equipment, engineering machinery, and basic components, reported adjusted net profit growth above 20% [2] - Conversely, sub-industries like 3C equipment, boiler equipment, textile and garment machinery, photovoltaic equipment, and industrial robots lagged in growth [2] Investment Recommendations - The analysis of the mechanical industry’s Q3 2025 financial report indicates a clear recovery trend in overall operations and continuous improvement in profitability [3] - The cyclical sub-industries are showing significant recovery, contributing to substantial performance growth, while some growth sub-industries are beginning to reverse from the bottom towards performance inflection points [3] - The company recommends focusing on cyclical recovery sectors such as engineering machinery, shipbuilding, oil and gas equipment, and lithium battery equipment, as well as emerging technology growth sub-industries aligned with national policies and future industrial planning, including robotics and AI supporting equipment [3]