国际观察｜美国从最长“停摆”走向下次“停摆”

Core Points - The U.S. Congress passed a temporary funding bill, ending the longest government shutdown in history, lasting 43 days [1] - Despite the temporary resolution, core disagreements over healthcare spending remain unresolved, indicating a potential for future shutdowns [1][4] - The political landscape shows increasing polarization, with both parties using the shutdown to advance their agendas [2][4] Group 1: Legislative Actions - The House of Representatives passed the temporary funding bill with a vote of 222 in favor and 209 against, showcasing partisan tensions [2] - The Senate's failure to pass a funding bill before the government shutdown led to a record duration of the shutdown, attributed to deep-seated disagreements over healthcare spending [2][3] - Some Democratic senators voted in favor of the bill due to their political circumstances, indicating a strategic compromise [3] Group 2: Political Implications - Analysts view the shutdown as a "lose-lose" situation for both parties, with ongoing disputes over healthcare likely to continue [4] - The Democratic Party faces internal criticism for compromising, losing leverage against the Republican Party [4][6] - The Republican Party's approval ratings have suffered due to the shutdown, with public sentiment blaming them for the impasse [6] Group 3: Governance Challenges - The temporary funding bill only extends funding until January 30, 2026, suggesting that negotiations will continue and future shutdowns are possible [7] - Historical data shows that since 1980, the U.S. has experienced 15 government shutdowns, with increasing frequency and duration in recent years [7] - Experts argue that the root cause of frequent shutdowns lies in a lack of political compromise and governance dysfunction, rather than just policy disagreements [7][8]