光伏股，“过山车”

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic sector experienced a rebound after rumors regarding a multi-crystalline silicon storage platform were debunked, leading to significant stock price increases for major companies in the industry [3][4]. Group 1: Market Reactions - Following the rumors on November 12, stocks of leading companies like Longi Green Energy and JA Solar approached their daily limit down, but recovered after clarifications from the China Photovoltaic Industry Association and JA Solar [3][4]. - On November 14, companies such as Canadian Solar and Hongyuan Green Energy saw stock increases of over 5%, continuing the upward trend from the previous day [3]. Group 2: Industry Challenges - The photovoltaic industry is currently facing a unique situation of overcapacity and slowing demand, compounded by price pressures across the supply chain [4]. - Analysts indicate that the global new production capacity from 2023 to 2024 is sufficient to meet the actual installation demand for 2025, with existing capacities potentially meeting demand until 2035 [4]. Group 3: Inventory Concerns - Global silicon material inventory has reportedly exceeded 500,000 tons, marking a historical high, with domestic inventory expected to surpass 400,000 tons by the end of the year [5]. Group 4: Export Opportunities - China dominates the photovoltaic product market overseas, with significant orders coming from regions like the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and India, despite trade barriers in the U.S. and India [6]. - The manufacturing cost of China's photovoltaic products is approximately 8 cents, significantly lower than the nearly 50 cents in the U.S. and 10-20 cents in other regions, providing a competitive edge in exports [6].