Core Insights - The article suggests that while artificial intelligence (AI) has been a major growth trend, quantum computing is emerging as a significant competitor, with stocks in this sector experiencing substantial gains over the past year [2][3]. Group 1: Quantum Computing Growth - Quantum computing stocks such as IonQ, Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum, and Quantum Computing Inc. have seen price increases ranging from 123% to 2,090% over the past year, indicating strong investor interest and potential for early investors [2]. - The potential economic value of quantum computing is projected to reach up to $850 billion by 2040, with applications in AI, weather modeling, cybersecurity, and drug development [3]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Valuation Concerns - Despite significant sales growth, companies in the quantum computing sector are currently facing substantial operational losses, with IonQ reporting a loss from operations of $168.8 million, up from $53.1 million year-over-year [10][11]. - Valuations for quantum computing stocks are considered unsustainable, with IonQ, Rigetti, D-Wave, and Quantum Computing Inc. trading at price-to-sales (P/S) ratios that are historically high, indicating potential for a significant decline in stock prices [13][20]. Group 3: Historical Context and Market Trends - Historical trends show that new technologies often take time to mature, with past examples including the internet and other technological advancements, suggesting that quantum computing may follow a similar trajectory [5][6][7]. - The current stock market is also viewed as historically pricey, with the S&P 500's Shiller P/E Ratio peaking at 41.20, indicating that a market correction could adversely affect high-valuation stocks like those in the quantum computing sector [22][23].
Prediction: Quantum Computing Stocks IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum Will Plunge 50% (or More) in 2026