G20国家受关税影响贸易额创WTO观测史上最大增幅，后续会怎样？｜全球贸易观察

Group 1 - The trade volume affected by tariffs among G20 countries has increased approximately fourfold compared to the previous reporting period, marking the largest increase in WTO trade monitoring history [1][4] - During the period from mid-October 2024 to mid-October 2025, 14.3% of imported goods in G20 countries (approximately $2.599 trillion) are impacted by tariffs and other measures, which is more than four times the previous record of $599 billion [4] - The WTO reported that a total of 185 measures are affecting trade valued at approximately $2.9 trillion, compared to $829 billion in the previous G20 report [4] Group 2 - G20 countries have implemented 184 new trade facilitation measures covering about $2.055 trillion in trade, nearly double the previous report's $1.07 trillion [5] - In the services trade sector, G20 countries introduced 52 new measures, with over two-thirds aimed at promoting trade [5] - The WTO noted that despite rising trade barriers, there is a continued dialogue among members rather than retaliatory actions [5] Group 3 - The WTO economists predict a global goods trade growth rate of 2.4% for 2025, but this forecast has been significantly downgraded to 0.5% for 2026 [6] - Oxford Economics reported a slowdown in global trade growth from 4% in 2025 to 1% in 2026, with U.S. tariffs impacting trade performance differently across countries [7] - The uncertainty surrounding trade policies is expected to have a negative impact on investment, with trade policy uncertainty remaining above long-term averages [7][8]