Are Wall Street Analysts Predicting Darden Restaurants Stock Will Climb or Sink?

Company Overview - Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI) has a market cap of approximately $20 billion and operates over 1,700 restaurants across multiple brands in the U.S. and Canada, including Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse, The Capital Grille, and Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen [1] Stock Performance - DRI shares have underperformed the broader market over the past 52 weeks, rising only 5.1% compared to a 14.5% increase in the S&P 500 Index [2] - Year-to-date, DRI shares are down 5.9%, while the S&P 500 has gained 16.5% [2] - The company has also lagged behind the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund's 9.9% return over the same period [3] Recent Financial Results - On September 18, DRI shares fell 7.7% after reporting Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $1.97, which missed Wall Street estimates [4] - Quarterly sales reached $3.04 billion, meeting forecasts, but operating costs surged 8.8% to $2.71 billion due to increased ingredient and marketing expenses [4] - Management raised its annual sales growth outlook to 7.5% - 8.5%, but the midpoint fell slightly below analysts' average expectations, negatively impacting investor sentiment [4] Earnings Expectations - For the fiscal year ending in May 2026, analysts project DRI's adjusted EPS to grow 11.1% year-over-year to $10.61 [5] - The company's earnings surprise history is mixed, with one beat and three misses in the last four quarters [5] - Among 30 analysts covering the stock, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," consisting of 17 "Strong Buy" ratings, two "Moderate Buy," and 11 "Holds" [5] Analyst Ratings - The current analyst configuration is slightly more bullish than three months ago, with 16 "Strong Buy" ratings [6] - On September 19, BMO Capital lowered Darden's price target to $205 while maintaining a "Market Perform" rating [6]