“十五五”时期，新型城镇化怎么“走”？

Core Insights - The forum focused on the development of new urbanization during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, emphasizing the importance of integration across various dimensions such as regional, urban-rural, industrial, digital, green, cultural, and safety aspects [1][2] Urban Agglomeration Construction - Current urban agglomerations and metropolitan areas primarily exist in a physical state, lacking deep economic and social interactions, leading to a dominance of central cities over smaller towns and rural areas [2] - The central government's focus is on promoting integration and collaboration within urban agglomerations rather than mere scale expansion, necessitating a balance between connectivity and differentiation [2][3] Infrastructure and Public Services - Emphasis on improving the connection between new and old infrastructure, addressing issues like "dead-end roads" and ensuring uniform standards across various infrastructures [3] - The importance of enhancing the connectivity of basic public services is highlighted, with a focus on collaborative efforts to share quality resources among cities [3] Urban-Rural Integration - The central government prioritizes urban-rural integration, recognizing the need for cities to support rural development, as rural areas remain the weakest link in modernization efforts [5][6] - Key reforms are needed to facilitate the two-way flow of resources between urban and rural areas, including household registration and land system reforms [6] Population Trends and Predictions - Predictions indicate a continuous decline in rural population, with estimates suggesting a drop from 465 million to 398 million by 2030, and further to 353 million by 2035 [7] - The number of administrative villages is expected to decrease significantly, leading to challenges such as village vacancy and inefficient land use [7] Quality of Urbanization - The relationship between speed and quality in urbanization is crucial, with a focus on improving urbanization quality as a primary goal [7] - Despite a slowdown, urbanization in China is projected to continue, with urbanization rates expected to reach 71.5% by 2030 and 74.6% by 2035 [7]