Core Insights - Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) aims to achieve an annualized run rate (ARR) of $7–$9 billion by the end of 2026, with a target of $900 million to $1.1 billion by the end of 2025 [1][2] - The company is strengthening its core AI cloud business through partnerships with AI-native startups and major technology players like Microsoft and Meta, with expected revenue contributions ramping up through 2026 [2][4] Business Expansion - Nebius plans to expand its data centers in the U.K., Israel, and New Jersey, while launching new facilities in the U.S. and Europe in the first half of 2026, targeting 2.5 gigawatts of contracted power by 2026, up from 1 gigawatt [3] - The company is enhancing its enterprise offerings with the launch of the Aether 3.0 cloud platform and Nebius Token Factory, positioning itself as a leader in the global AI cloud market [4] Financial Outlook - Nebius has raised its capital expenditure guidance for 2025 from approximately $2 billion to around $5 billion, which may impact growth if revenue does not keep pace [5] - The company has tightened its full-year revenue outlook to a range of $500 million to $550 million, down from previous guidance [6] Competitive Landscape - Microsoft is significantly increasing its AI capacity and expanding its data center footprint, with expectations of total revenues between $79.5 billion and $80.6 billion for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, indicating a growth of 14% to 16% [7] - CoreWeave, Inc. is also expanding its role in the AI cloud market, securing major deals and partnerships, including a multi-year deal with Meta worth up to $14.2 billion [8][9] Market Performance - Shares of Nebius have gained 147.6% in the past six months, outperforming the Internet – Software and Services industry's growth of 9% [11] - The current price/book ratio for NBIS is 5.53X, higher than the industry's 4.26X [12]
Can Nebius Reach its 2026 ARR Target Amid Soaring AI Demand?