Countdown to Jack In The Box (JACK) Q4 Earnings: A Look at Estimates Beyond Revenue and EPS

Core Viewpoint - Analysts expect Jack In The Box (JACK) to report quarterly earnings of $0.46 per share, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 60.3%, with revenues projected at $321.46 million, down 8% from the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 1.6%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts project 'Revenues- Franchise' to reach $185.39 million, a decrease of 6.3% year-over-year [5]. - 'Revenues- Company restaurant sales' are expected to be $136.31 million, indicating a 10% decline from the previous year [6]. - 'Revenues- Franchise rental revenues' are estimated at $81.45 million, down 6.7% from the year-ago quarter [6]. Restaurant Counts - The consensus estimate for 'Del Taco - Restaurant Counts (EOP) - Total' is 586, down from 594 in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'Jack in the Box - Restaurant Counts (EOP) - Total' is projected at 2,136, compared to 2,191 in the previous year [8]. - The total system for 'Franchise (Jack in the Box + Del Taco)' is expected to reach 2,443, down from 2,502 in the same quarter last year [9]. Market Performance - Jack In The Box shares have shown a return of -13.7% over the past month, contrasting with the S&P 500 composite's +1.4% change, indicating expected underperformance in the near future [11].