Nextracker (US:NXT) Benzinga·2025-11-14 18:49Core Viewpoint - NextPower Inc. is transitioning from a tracker-focused model to a more comprehensive structural, electrical, and digital platform, which is expected to enhance its earnings sustainability [1][4]. Financial Performance - Nextracker reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 results that exceeded both revenue and earnings expectations, driven by strong demand in U.S. and international markets, as well as momentum from recently acquired businesses [2]. - The company raised its fiscal 2026 revenue forecast to $3.275-$3.475 billion, up from $3.20-$3.45 billion, indicating a 14% year-on-year growth at the midpoint [3]. - Adjusted EBITDA is now projected to be between $775 million and $815 million, with EPS guidance increased to $4.04–$4.25 [3]. Analyst Insights - The analyst notes that NextPower is evolving into a broader platform with a more sustainable earnings profile, supported by commercialized products rather than aspirational expansions [4]. - The fiscal 2030 revenue outlook is estimated to be between $4.8 billion and $5.6 billion, indicating a significant shift in revenue mix and margin profile compared to market expectations [4]. - The analyst raised the EPS estimate for fiscal 2026 to $4.11 (from $4.05) but lowered estimates for fiscal 2027 and 2028 [6]. Growth Projections - A 12% revenue CAGR is projected, reaching $5.52 billion by fiscal 2030, along with a 110 basis points gross margin expansion from fiscal 2026 to fiscal 2030 [6]. - Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $1.36 billion, exceeding management's guidance of $1.1 billion–$1.3 billion [6]. - The growth in electrical and software segments is anticipated to offset structural dilution, with operating expenses expected to decline to approximately 8% of sales [7].