Do Wall Street Analysts Like Lennar Stock?

Core Viewpoint - Lennar Corporation, a major U.S. homebuilder, has faced significant stock underperformance compared to broader market indices, with recent financial results indicating declining earnings and revenue, raising concerns among investors [1][2][4]. Company Overview - Lennar Corporation has a market capitalization of $31.7 billion and specializes in the construction and sale of single-family and multifamily homes, operating through segments such as Homebuilding, Financial Services, Multifamily, and Fund Investments [1]. Stock Performance - Over the past 52 weeks, LEN stock has decreased by 25.3%, while the S&P 500 Index has increased by 14.5%. Year-to-date, LEN shares are down nearly 9%, contrasting with the S&P 500's 16.5% gain [2][3]. Financial Results - In Q3 2025, Lennar reported adjusted EPS of $2, missing Wall Street expectations of $2.12. Net earnings fell sharply to $591 million from $1.2 billion a year earlier, and revenue of $8.81 billion was down 9% year-over-year [4]. - The average home sales price declined by 9% to $383,000, and gross margin decreased to 17.5% from 22.5%. Guidance for Q4 indicates flat margins (~17.5%) and lower new orders of 20,000 - 21,000 homes [4]. Earnings Forecast - For the fiscal year ending in November 2025, analysts expect Lennar's adjusted EPS to decline by 40.5% year-over-year to $8.25. The company's earnings surprise history shows mixed results, with one beat and three misses in the last four quarters [5]. Analyst Ratings - Among 19 analysts covering Lennar, the consensus rating is a "Hold," consisting of four "Strong Buy" ratings, 13 "Holds," and two "Strong Sells" [5]. Price Target - UBS raised its price target on Lennar to $161 while maintaining a "Buy" rating. The mean price target of $127.57 suggests a 2.8% premium to current price levels, while the highest target of $161 indicates a potential upside of 29.7% [6].